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Perspective / Ed Parcaut

Are Higher Mortgage Rates Here to Stay?

Are Higher Mortgage Rates Here To Stay?

Higher mortgage rates get attention, and for good reason. When borrowing becomes more expensive, buying a home can feel like a bigger stretch. If you are thinking about moving, those headlines can make you question whether to move forward or put your plans on hold.

Mortgage rates have reached levels not seen in more than two decades. That kind of headline can feel like a gut punch. But a headline alone does not answer the question that matters most: what makes sense for your move?

No one can tell you with certainty where mortgage rates will go next. A more useful approach is to understand how rates affect your options, consider why you want to move and get help from professionals who can explain what it means for you.

How Higher Mortgage Rates Affect Affordability

The connection between mortgage rates and affordability is straightforward. When the rate goes up, borrowing money to buy a home becomes more expensive. For the same loan amount, a higher rate means a higher monthly mortgage payment.

That payment matters because your home search needs to fit your budget. A home that feels manageable at one rate may feel less comfortable at a higher rate.

The Urban Institute explains the effect this way:

“When mortgage rates go up, monthly housing payments on new purchases also increase. For potential buyers, increased monthly payments can reduce the share of available affordable homes . . . Additionally, higher interest rates mean fewer homes on the market, as existing homeowners have an incentive to hold on to their home to keep their low interest rate.”

In plain English, higher rates can affect both sides of a move. Buyers face higher borrowing costs, while existing homeowners may hesitate to sell because they want to keep their lower mortgage rate.

What This Means for Buyers

When monthly payments increase, fewer available homes may fit what you can afford. That is why it helps to discuss the payment with your lender rather than look at the interest rate by itself.

Ask what the rate means for the homes you are considering. Then decide whether those options fit your needs and your comfort level. The goal is not to dismiss the rate. It is to understand its effect on your actual purchase.

What This Means for Sellers

If you already own a home with a lower mortgage rate, you may have a reason to stay put. Giving up that rate can make the decision to sell more difficult.

But the rate is not the only question. Why were you considering a move in the first place? If that reason still matters, put it alongside the borrowing cost rather than letting either one decide the whole issue.

Does Waiting for Lower Rates Make Sense?

Some people put their moving plans on hold when rates rise. If you are considering that approach, you are not alone. Plenty of buyers would prefer to borrow at a lower rate.

The challenge is that nobody knows exactly when rates will fall. Even experts cannot say with certainty what will happen next.

Waiting may be a choice you make, but it should not rest on the assumption that a forecast is a promise. Ask yourself what you are waiting for and how you would make a decision if rates do not move the way you hope.

Do not confuse wanting a lower rate with knowing when one will be available. Those are two very different things.

Why Mortgage Rate Forecasts Are Not a Plan

Forecasts have projected falling rates even as the data showed rates climbing. That disconnect illustrates how difficult mortgage rates are to predict.

A prediction can give you something to consider. It cannot give you certainty about the rate you will have when you are ready to buy.

Trying to time your move around the perfect rate means trying to control something outside your control. Instead, focus on the decision you can actually make: whether a particular home purchase makes sense for your circumstances.

As CBS News states:

“If you're in the market for a new home, experts typically recommend focusing your search on the right home purchase , not the interest rate environment.”

That does not mean ignoring affordability. It means keeping the purchase itself at the center of the conversation, including whether the payment works and whether the home serves the reason you want to move.

Build a Team That Helps You Understand Your Options

You do not have to sort through these questions alone. A trusted lender and real estate agent can explain what is happening in the market and what it means for your plans.

Use those conversations to turn broad concerns into specific questions:

  • How does the mortgage rate affect the monthly payment for the homes I am considering?
  • Which available homes fit the budget we have discussed?
  • How should I weigh keeping my existing rate against my reasons for moving?
  • Am I basing my decision on my needs or on a prediction about rates?

If you are changing jobs, want to be closer to family or are working through another major life change, explain that to your team. The right professionals can help you work toward your goal without pretending they control mortgage rates.

Focus on Your Next Decision, Not the Next Forecast

Are higher mortgage rates here to stay? There is no certain answer. Higher rates affect affordability and can encourage homeowners to hold on to their homes, but nobody can reliably tell you exactly what comes next.

Your practical next step is to write down why you want to move and what you need to understand about the payment. Reach out to Ed Parcaut to talk through those questions, and connect with a trusted local real estate agent to explore your options.