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Perspective / Ed Parcaut

What a Move Toward a Balanced Housing Market Means

Are We Heading into a Balanced Market?

More Homes for Sale Can Change the Conversation

When sellers have the upper hand, buyers can feel pressure to move quickly and compete hard. As more homes become available, that pressure can ease. Buyers gain options, and sellers may need to take a more flexible approach.

But growing inventory does not automatically mean buyers are in charge. A market can become less competitive without becoming fully balanced.

The useful question is not simply whether the market favors buyers or sellers. It is how much leverage each side has, and what that means for your next move.

What Is a Balanced Market?

A balanced housing market is generally defined as one with about a five-to-seven-month supply of homes available for sale. In that range, neither buyers nor sellers have a clear advantage.

Prices tend to stabilize, and buyers have a healthier selection of homes to choose from. Sellers can still sell, but the conversation becomes less one-sided.

After a stretch when sellers have held most of the leverage, a more balanced market can be a welcome change for people looking to move. It gives buyers more room to consider their options while asking sellers to pay closer attention to pricing and negotiations.

Getting Closer Is Not the Same as Getting There

The national inventory example in the original analysis showed supply increasing from three months to four months. That increase moved the market closer to the five-to-seven-month range, but it did not put the market in balanced territory.

The distinction matters. Four months of supply still represented a seller’s market, just one that was less frenzied than the seller-dominated conditions that preceded it.

The original analysis used National Association of Realtors, or NAR, inventory data to illustrate that change. Treat those figures as an example of movement toward balance, not as a description of conditions whenever you happen to read this.

More Inventory Is Not the Same as Oversupply

In that example, the increase in inventory was not creating an oversupply that would cause a crash. Even after the increase, supply remained well short of that level.

The takeaway is to distinguish between more homes to choose from and an oversupply. The increase described in the original analysis pointed toward a less intense seller’s market, not a market overwhelmed with available homes.

Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American, described the relationship this way:

“The faster housing supply increases, the more affordability improves and the strength of a seller’s market wanes.”

What a Shift Toward Balance Means for Your Move

A shift in inventory matters because it changes the conditions buyers and sellers face. The original analysis drew on NAR and Realtor.com data to highlight longer selling times, fewer offers, and fewer buyers waiving inspections.

Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR, summarized the conditions described in that analysis:

“Homes are sitting on the market a bit longer, and sellers are receiving fewer offers. More buyers are insisting on home inspections and appraisals, and inventory is definitively rising on a national basis.”

Those observations provide a useful framework for understanding a move toward balance. Here is what each one means for the people on either side of a sale.

Homes May Take Longer to Sell

When more homes are on the market, they may not sell as quickly. Buyers have more options to consider rather than feeling limited to a smaller selection.

For buyers: That can mean more time to find the right home. Instead of focusing only on whether you can compete, consider how the available choices fit what you are looking for.

For sellers: Pricing deserves careful attention. If your house is not priced appropriately, buyers may choose a better-priced option. Having more competition makes it important to look honestly at how your home compares with the alternatives.

Sellers May Receive Fewer Offers

A less frenzied market can mean fewer offers for sellers. That changes the negotiation from choosing among competing buyers to working more closely with the offers available.

For buyers: More choices can mean less intense competition. You may have more room to discuss price and terms rather than assuming the seller holds all the leverage.

For sellers: Be prepared to consider compromises on price or terms. Flexibility may be necessary to reach an agreement and close the deal.

The practical point is simple: do not build your expectations around the assumption that every home will attract multiple offers. Ask your agent what comparable homes are experiencing locally.

Inspection and Appraisal Expectations Can Change

As buyers gain negotiating power, fewer may be willing to waive inspections. The conditions described by Yun also included more buyers insisting on appraisals.

For buyers: Discuss inspections and appraisals with your agent rather than assuming you need to give them up to compete. A less intense market may offer more room to insist on them.

For sellers: Be ready to negotiate over inspection findings and repair requests. Addressing those requests may be part of keeping the sale moving forward.

Your Local Market Matters Most

National figures give you a broad picture. They do not tell you exactly what you will face in your own area.

The type of market you are in can vary substantially based on how much inventory is available locally. That is why a national move toward balance should start a conversation, not settle every question about your purchase or sale.

A local real estate agent can bring available data and local insight into that conversation. Ask questions that connect the broader trends to your actual plans:

  • How much inventory is available in the area where I want to buy or sell?
  • Are comparable homes taking longer to sell?
  • Are sellers receiving fewer offers?
  • What are buyers asking for on inspections, appraisals, and repairs?
  • How should those conditions shape my pricing or offer expectations?

Understanding those details helps you approach the market with a clearer picture instead of relying on a national headline.

Build Your Plan Around the Conditions You Face

The housing market changes. A move toward balance can give buyers more choices and negotiating room while asking sellers to be realistic about price, timing, and terms.

Your next step is to review local inventory and comparable homes with your real estate agent. Then connect those expectations to your financing plans. If you have questions about the mortgage side of your move, reach out to Ed Parcaut to talk through your next step.